2015 Caulfield Guineas Form Guide: Press Statement the horse to beat

By: Mark Mazzaglia
October 10th, 2015

The 2015 Caulfield Guineas Form Guide is pretty transparent with the Chris Waller trained Press Statement hitting his peak for the Group 1 $1m race for the three year olds at Caulfield today.

The Caulfield Guineas over 1600m is run under set weights conditions with every runner to carry 56.5kg.

  1. 1. Press Statement

    Press Statement is the short priced favourite for the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Steve Hart.

    Press Statement is the short priced favourite for the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Steve Hart.

Sydney’s premier trainer Chris Waller has brought Press Statement to Melbourne set to peak today after scoring a soft win in the in the Group 2 $200,000 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill on September 26. Press Statement already has a Group 1 win on his record after scoring a comfortable win in the Group 1 $600,000 J.J. Atkins (1600m) at Doomben during the Brisbane Winter Carnival. The Hinchinbrook colt took three runs to get back in the winner’s stall and resumed from a spell for second to Exosphere in the Group 2 $175,000 The Run To The Rose (1200m) at Rosehill on August 29. At his next start Press Statement ran into plenty of trouble in the straight when fifth to Exosphere again in the Group 1 $1m Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) at Rosehill on September 12. Waller then replaced Tye Angland with Hugh Bowman and that proved to be a winning move in the Stan Fox Stakes. Bowman gets the ride again today and will be looking to get cover in the early and middle stages from barrier fourteen. Press Statement is the dominant favourite with Ladbrokes.com.au at $2.60.

  1. 2. Odyssey Moon

Odyssey Moon is one of the outsiders of the field at $61 but his run in the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago wasn’t the worse. The Rodney Northam trained Odyssey Moon settled near the tail of the field with Steven Arnold and ran home to finish fifth, only one and a quarter lengths behind the winner Bon Aurum. At his previous start Odyssey Moon finished just behind the placegetters when fifth to Bon Aurum in the Listed $120,000 Pin & Win Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on September 12.

  1. 3. Ready For Victory

    Ready For Victory will wear blinkers for the first time in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Adrienne Bicknell.

    Ready For Victory will wear blinkers for the first time in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Adrienne Bicknell.

The Mick Price trained Ready For Victory has failed to find the winner’s stall from three runs this campaign but is still regarded as one of the main chances and is the second pick in the market order at $7.50. Price has added the blinkers to Ready For Victory following his disappointing last start ninth to Bon Aurum in the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago. At his two previous runs Ready For Victory had trouble obtaining a clear run when he needed it when second to Gold Symphony in the Group 3 $150,000 H.D.F. McNeil Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on August 29 and third to Kinglike in the Group 2 $200,000 Danehill Stakes (1200m) at Flemington on September 12. Glen Boss takes over from the suspended Damien Oliver and will give the More Than Ready colt a good run from barrier four.

  1. 4. Rageese

Rageese will also be wearing the blinkers for the first time but will it be enough to make up the four and a quarter lengths that he was beaten by Press Statement when third in the Group 2 $200,000 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill on September 26? At his previous run the Team Hawkes trained colt ran fourth to Exosphere in the Group 1 $1m Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) at Rosehill on September 12 and is also one of the outsiders of the Caulfield Guineas field at $41 and James Winks rides.

  1. 5. Dal Cielo

Dal Cielo has some admirers and the Murray Baker trained colt is well up in the betting at $10 following his third to Bon Aurum in the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago at his first run in Australia. Dal Cielo is a Group 1 winner back in New Zealand when Opie Bosson steered him to victory in the Group 1 NZ$200,000 Diamond Stakes (1200m) at Ellerslie on March 7. Dal Cielo has drawn midfield at eight with Opie Bosson in the saddle again.

  1. 6. Bon Aurum

    Bon Aurum, green cap, is chasing a hat trick of wins in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

    Bon Aurum, green cap, is chasing a hat trick of wins in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

Bon Aurum goes into the Caulfield Guineas looking for a hat trick of wins after victories in the Listed $120,000 Pin & Win Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on September 12 and in the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago. The Ciaron Maher trained Bon Aurum is improving with every run and Kerrin McEvoy is sticking with the $12 chance.

  1. 7. Shards

Shards scored a first up win in the Group 3 $125,000 Up and Coming Stakes (1300m) at Randwick on August 22 but was then well beaten when seventh to Exosphere in the the Group 1 $1m Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) at Rosehill on September 12. The John O’Shea trained colt was back in the minor placings last start with a three lengths second to Press Statement in the Group 2 $200,000 Stan Fox Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill on September 26 and is at the healthy odds of $21 with Jim Cassidy in the saddle.

  1. 8. Sovereign Nation

The lightly raced Sovereign Nation earned a start in the Caulfield Guineas after winning the Group 2 $200,000 Stutt Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley on October 2 at only his third race start and has been listed as a $19 today. The Encosta De Lago colt scored on debut in a 1000m Geelong Maiden on August 28 before running seventh to Bon Aurum in the Listed $120,000 Pin & Win Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on September 12. Michael Walker has ridden the colt on all three occasions and gets the ride again today.

  1. 9. Bassett

    Bassett is stepping up from 1200m to 1600m in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

    Bassett is stepping up from 1200m to 1600m in the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

The Peter Moody trained Bassett is another who has only raced on three occasions but is given some hope after winning a 1200m three year old Plate at Caulfield on September 19. Moody has a big opinion of the Savabeel gelding and Daniel Stackhouse is sticking with the $12 chance.

  1. 10. Last Bullet

Adelaide three year old Last Bullet made up some ground from the back of the field when eighth, one and three quarter lengths behind Bon Aurum in the the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago. Vlad Duric gets the ride again and his is not the roughest at $21.

  1. 11. Lizard Island

Lizard Island is taking a huge step up in class after winning a 1600m Pakenham Maiden by three lengths on September 23. At his previous start Lizard Island showed that he has plenty of class with a fighting second for Blake Shinn to Bon Aurum in the Listed $120,000 Pin & Win Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on September 12. Shinn is back aboard and the $26 chance to likely to race on the pace from barrier two.

  1. 12. Kentucky Flyer

Kentucky Flyer is pretty friendless in the betting at $101 but has the help of Craig Williams who takes over from Vlad Duric who was aboard the Robbie Laing trained colt when sixth to Tarzino in a 1600m three year old Handicap at Caulfield on September 19. Kentucky Flyer was a winner at his two previous starts in a 1200m Cranbourne Maiden on August 23 and in a 1500m Moonee Valley three year old Handicap on September 5.

  1. 13. Tarzino

    Tarzino is at good each way odds for the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

    Tarzino is at good each way odds for the Caulfield Guineas. Photo by Ultimate Racing Photos.

Tarzino takes his place in the Caulfield Guineas after winning over the same course and distance in a three year old Handicap at his third race start on September 19. Trainer Mick Price was impressed enough with the win to tackle Group 1 company and Tarzino has come in for some solid support to be marked at $15 with Craig Newitt sticking with the colt.

  1. 14. Snoopy

Snoopy, from the Team Hawkes stables, and is one of the outsiders of the field at $41. Snoopy wasn’t disgraced when fourth to Bon Aurum in the Group 3 $175,000 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago and Dwayne Dunn has decided to stick with colt who has drawn worse than midfield t gate eleven.

  1. 15. Tulsa

The Mike Moroney trained Tulsa is another who has been well supported in pre-post betting and is currently listed as a $12 chance. Tulsa came from last on the home turn to be beaten a head by Bon Aurum when runner up in the Group 3 $175,000 BECK Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) at Caulfield two weeks ago. Ben Melham has the ride again and will likely have to go back again from the outside barrier in the sixteen horses field.

  1. 16. More Than Most

More That Most is the longest priced runner at $151 and comes to Caulfield following his third in a 1400m Pakenham BenchMark 64 on September 23 and clearly looks outclassed.

  1. 17. Mr Individual (1st Emergency)

Scratched.

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