2013 Caulfield Guineas – Who Are The Favourites?

By: Thomas Hackett
October 12th, 2013

The Group 1 $1 million 2013 Caulfield Guineas (1600m) is the feature race around Australia this afternoon and is shaping as a very interesting betting race.

Long John has been the best backed runner in 2013 Caulfield Guineas betting markets.

Long John has been the best backed runner in 2013 Caulfield Guineas betting markets. Photo by: Race Horse Photos Australia

The 2012 Caulfield Guineas was dominated by two horses, Pierro and All Too Hard, but the 2013 edition of the race is far more open; with a number of different three-year-olds considered winning chances.

The current favourite in 2013 Caulfield Guineas betting markets is Peter Snowden-trained Long John who is available at odds of $4.

Long John started his campaign with a solid third behind Cauthen in the Listed McKenzie Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley on August 24 before stamping himself as a contender for the Caulfield Guineas with a dominant win in the Listed Henry Bucks Best Dressed Stakes (14000m) at Flemington on September 7.

The Street Cry gelding topped off his lead-up with a fast-finishing third behind Éclair Big Bang in the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) and according to Darley stable foreman Paul Snowden is heading into the race right on song.

Ladbrokes.com.au Bookmaker Operations Director Jason Scott said that Long John has easily been the best backed runner in Caulfield Guineas betting markets.

“There has been a constant stream of money for Long John since Wednesday,” Scott said.

“A few others have been backed but all the general public money has been with Long John.

“We think that he is a risk and are happy to keep taking bets even with our Double The Odds promotion that offers Long John at $8.”

Scott said that classy Kiwi colt El Roca has also received plenty of support, after sizzling in trackwork during the week, as has the perennially unlucky Dissident.

“El Roca opened at $10 and is now into $7.50,” Scott said.

“The money for Dissident has been fairly solid.

“We laid a small amount at $12 and he is now into $8.”

David Hayes-trained Great Esteem has failed to fire this preparation, finishing 10th in The Inglis Bonus Handicap (1700m) at Caulfield at his last start, but one Ladbrokes punter believes that there is plenty to like about the Redoute’s Choice colt.

“Great Esteem has been the only roughie that has found any support,” Scott.

“We took a bet of $1000 each-way at $100.”

Recent history is against Long John as only three of the past ten Caulfield Guineas favourites have been victorious in the race.

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