Cranbourne trainer Mick Kent is hoping the Melbourne weather lives up to it infamous unpredictable self and splats egg on the face of the weather bureau.
Kent will be represented by Unusual Suspect, Absolutely and Domesky in Saturday’s 2011 $2.5m Caulfield Cup (2400m) and hopes rain can downgraded the Caulfield track rating that is currently good.
Though light showers are predicted for Friday and Saturday, it won’t be enough to effect the track and give his trio the best possible chance.
Kent has nominated the AJC Oaks winner Absolutely as the best hope of the three and will instruct jockey Brad Rawiller to ride her more forward than has been seen at during her lead up races.
The Oaks win was on a heavy track and though she has been consistent it has been her lone win.
Of the fancied runners ay yesterday’s Cup barrier draw Absolutely drew the short straw being allotted barrier 22.
Bookmakers reacted and a general quote of $10 is now out to around $16.
“Funny isn’t it, the one with the best chance gets the car park and the other two drew beautifully, I’m only hoping now,” Kent said.
“I’m happy with her, she has been programmed for this race and we will try to have her racing in the first half dozen,” Kent said.
Absolutely settled seventh in the Oaks before scoring easily from Pinker Pinker and Shamrocker.
“If she gets stuck wide her race may be over in the first furlong,” Kent said.
Unusual Suspect ($101) an eight-year-old US import that has had two runs in Australia.
His first at Moonee Valley was creditable when making ground behind Rekindled Interest beaten two and a half lengths in the Group 2 Feehan Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley on September 10 when at long odds.
On the strength of the run he started a $7 chance in the Cranbourne Cup on Sunday but beat just two home after receiving interference and abrasions.
“He was ridden too forward, he never races like that and he is fit and well.
“He has some real ability on his day and I’m hoping he can reproduce it here.”
While Unusual Suspect is yet to race on a slow or heavy track, Kent believes the 2010 Group 1 Hollywood Turf Cup (2400m) winner would respond favourably in such conditions.
“Domesky ($151) has ability but this is pretty tough, the owners wanted to run him,” Kent said.
While many are saying it is a weak Caulfield Cup field, Kent doesn’t necessarily concur, particularly with December Draw in the event.
“The race (Caulfield Cup) lost a couple of headline acts but if December Draw was in the Cox Plate he would have been second or third favourite,” Kent said.
“I am just hoping he can’t run 2400m.”