Politeness is currently on top of the 2015 Tattersall’s Tiara tips of leading form expert Daniel O’Sullivan and he believes that the talented mare represents great value at her current odds for the Group 1 event at the Gold Coast tomorrow.
Politeness started her winter preparation with a most impressive win in the Listed Bel Esprit Stakes (1100m) at Caulfield on April 18 and she finished a credible sixth in the Group 1 Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m), but she was unable to get into the race in both the Group 1 The Goodwood (1200m) at Morphettville on May 16 and the Group 2 Dane Ripper Stakes (1350m) at Doomben on June 6.
O’Sullivan believes that Politeness is in much better form than her two previous runs suggest and he told Radio TAB that he is more than happy to back Politeness at her current Tattersall’s Tiara odds of $21.
“It is going back a few months ago, but her first-up win at Caulfield rated very, very strongly and showed that she had returned in excellent form and the form from behind her going out of that race was very, very good,” O’Sullivan said.
“In her past three runs she has drawn barrier 11, barrier 13 and barrier 13 in races that weren’t run very quick early and she was thoroughly disadvantaged by being so far out the back.
“Coming into this race she has drawn better in five, she is very, very adept of soft going and one of her peak ratings came on a heavy track at Royal Randwick as a three-year-old filly and she is going much better than her last three runs suggest.
“I am looking for her to get back to something like that first-up rating particularly on soft ground and from the draw and I think that puts her in the mix here as one of the chances.
“I think that she is more like an $10 or $11 chance and she is $21 in the market.
“She is a longshot with a genuine chance.”
Politeness is joined in the 2015 Tattersall’s Tiara field by stablemate Lumosty and the Fastnet Rock filly is another horse that O’Sullivan is keen to back in the Group 1 event this weekend.
Lumosty failed to fire in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap (1350m), but O’Sullivan is happy to forgive the three-year-old for the lackluster run and believes she will prove tough to beat if she can repeat the performances she produced at Flemington at the start of her preparation.
“Obviously last start was not a true indicator of her form and it is always dangerous to dismiss horses on one bad run, especially horses that have displayed consistent quality in the past,” O’Sullivan said.
“I think she is a filly that is right in this race because prior to last start she certainly had the figures to win this race.
“Her only run on a soft track came in a Sale maiden that she won by nine lengths and at the time produced a new career peak and at the time really showed that she was getting through the ground well.
“She looks to be extremely adept on soft ground, she has drawn barrier nine and she might come in a couple with the scratchings, which could end up being a perfect draw for this race.”
Lumosty is currently available at 2015 Tattersall’s Tiara odds of $7.50 and is on the fourth line of betting with Ladbrokes behind Najoom ($3.80), Catkins ($4.60) and Srikandi ($4.60).